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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
3 - 2
Loughgall

O'Hara (14'), Lynch (40'), McKendry (61')
McDaid (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kelly (23'), Magee (90+7')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Coleraine
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-2 Loughgall
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawLoughgall
49.9% (-0.61 -0.61) 23.64% (0.187 0.19) 26.47% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.51 -0.51)43.69% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.503 -0.5)66.08% (0.5 0.5)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.42 -0.42)17.61% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (-0.736 -0.74)48.2% (0.733 0.73)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.052999999999997 0.05)30.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (0.064 0.06)66.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 49.9%
    Loughgall 26.47%
    Draw 23.63%
ColeraineDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.9%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Loughgall
1-2
Coleraine
Hoey (2')
Murdock (64'), Loughran (83')
McKendry (4'), Mitchell (25')
McKendry (61'), Jarvis (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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