NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Nov 25, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
1 - 2
Dungannon

Magee (90+3')
Brogan (5'), Boyd (23'), Cartwright (24'), Loughran (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lusty (13', 75')
Curry (31'), McGee (37'), McGinty (40')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 2-0 Loughgall
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Dungannon 4-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
LoughgallDrawDungannon Swifts
47.94% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)23.28% (0.044999999999998 0.04)28.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.81% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65% (-0.191 -0.19)40.35% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27% (-0.197 -0.2)62.72% (0.196 0.2)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)17.08% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (-0.177 -0.18)47.27% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)26.65% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.106 -0.11)61.9% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 47.94%
    Dungannon Swifts 28.78%
    Draw 23.27%
LoughgallDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 28.78%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Dungannon
1-2
Loughgall
Convie (75')
Marron (48'), Scott (73'), McGee (90+1')
Ferris (16'), Boyd (69')