Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.