Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 75.82%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 8.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.49%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.