NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Larne
Jan 26, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
Newry City AFC
  • Tomas Cosgrove 14' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 14' yellowcard
  • Christopher Gallagher 17' goal
  • Tomas Cosgrove 52' goal
  • Andy Ryan 73' goal
  • yellowcard Darren King 14'
  • yellowcard Liam Bagnall 14'

Larne vs Newry City AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Dungannon 0 - 2 Larne
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Andy Ryan

Newry City AFC

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Newry City AFC 1 - 2 Cliftonville
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Adam Salley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 89.6%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 4-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Larne in this match.

Result

Larne 89.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 7.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Newry City AFC 2.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.63% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 29.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 49.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 50.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 29.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 70.14% ▲ (+0.05)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5 95.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 4.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 82.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17.19% ▲ (+0.05)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5 35.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 64.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 7.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 92.97% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Larne 89.6%
Draw 7.81%
Newry City AFC 2.59%
Larne
3-0 @ 14.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 13.58% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 11.54% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 89.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 7.81%
Newry City AFC
0-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 2.59%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Newry City AFC
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
Larne
  • Andrew Martin 6' yellowcard
  • Liam Bagnall 37' yellowcard
  • Adam Salley 56' goal
  • Barney McKeown 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaziel Orozco 56'
  • redcard Ilijah Paul 72'
  • redcard Ilijah Paul 73'
  • goal Joseph Thomson 79'
  • yellowcard Lee Bonis 80'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cosgrove 84'
  • goal Joseph Thomson 85'
  • yellowcard Levi Ives 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Larne
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Inver Park
Newry City AFC
  • Paul O'Neill 4' goal
  • Aaron Donnelly 7' yellowcard
  • Jaziel Orozco 15' yellowcard
  • Levi Ives 41' goal
  • Michael Glynn 43' goal
  • Levi Ives 76' goal
  • yellowcard Ciaran O'Connor 7'
  • yellowcard Lorcan Forde 64'
  • yellowcard Noel Healy 66'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 26
Newry City AFC
Jan 29, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Larne
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 19
Larne
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inver Park
Newry City AFC
  • Fuad Sule 12' goal
  • Tomas Cosgrove 49' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 10
Newry City AFC
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Larne
  • goal Leroy Millar 60'
  • goal Mark Randall 62'

Form Data

Dungannon 0 - 2 Larne
Crusaders 0 - 2 Larne
Larne 1 - 1 Linfield
Carrick 1 - 2 Larne
Larne 1 - 0 Loughgall
Crusaders 0 - 3 Larne
Newry City AFC 1 - 2 Cliftonville
Dungannon 5 - 0 Newry City AFC
Newry City AFC 0 - 4 Glenavon
Newry City AFC 0 - 1 Carrick
Glentoran 1 - 0 Newry City AFC
Newry City AFC 0 - 0 Ballymena