Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 57%. A win for Portstewart had a probability of 21.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 0-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Portstewart win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.