Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 53.99%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.