Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 41%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.