Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.