NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 0
Crusaders

McGovern (39')
Wallace (64'), Scott (71'), Glenny (89'), Dunne (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 2-1 Dungannon
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Glenavon
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCrusaders
27.48% (-0.708 -0.71)23.78% (0.119 0.12)48.74% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 58.05% (-0.972 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (-1.031 -1.03)43.55% (1.032 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-1.02 -1.02)65.95% (1.021 1.02)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-1.039 -1.04)29.21% (1.04 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-1.298 -1.3)65.15% (1.298 1.3)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.166 -0.17)18% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (-0.287 -0.29)48.87% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 27.48%
    Crusaders 48.74%
    Draw 23.77%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 27.48%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.234 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.355 0.36)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 48.74%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dungannon
2-2
Crusaders
Mitchell (52'), Moore (89')
Hutchinson (10'), Mitchell (30')
Kennedy (28', 90+2')
Larmour (90+5')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dungannon
1-4
Crusaders
Maguire (32')
Owens (42'), Hegarty (58')
Teelan (53'), Robinson (71'), Kennedy (78'), Smith (90+3')
Joe Burns (77')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crusaders
2-0
Dungannon
Heatley (46'), Lecky (57')
Kennedy (77'), Weir (90')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Crusaders
3-0
Dungannon
Forsythe (20' pen.), Heatley (56'), Lecky (58')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dungannon
0-2
Crusaders
Lowry (1'), Larmour (48')