NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Glentoran
0 - 1
Crusaders


Fisher (36'), McGinn (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Offord (22')
Forsythe (18'), Stewart (46'), Offord (66'), Nixon (75'), Tuffey (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glentoran

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Lisburn Distillery 0-6 Glentoran
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballyclare Comrades 2-6 Crusaders
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawCrusaders
33.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.32% (0.0040000000000013 0)42.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 59.55% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43.05% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.55% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)65.45% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.77% (0.012 0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)20.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.99% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 33.39%
    Crusaders 42.29%
    Draw 24.32%
GlentoranDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.39%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.72%
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 42.29%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Glentoran
4-0
Crusaders
Donnelly (31'), McLaughlin (61' og., 68'), Kane (72')
Burns (45')

Donnelly (45+1')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Crusaders
1-2
Glentoran
Nixon (82')
Joe Burns (37')
Fisher (10'), Burns (90')
Clucas (66')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crusaders
1-1
Glentoran
Lowry (45+2')
Robinson (14'), Clarke (39'), Larmour (71'), Joe Burns (90+3')
Robinson (51')
Donnelly (35')
Ogedi-Uzokwe (41'), McCarey (45+4'), Wilson (49'), Kane (58'), Kelly (81'), Burns (90+3')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Glentoran
2-2
Crusaders
Donnelly (21'), McCartan (67' pen.)
Burns (24')
Burns (71')
Larmour (16'), Owens (88')
Lecky (66'), Forsythe (67')
Forsythe (89'), Forsythe (90')
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Crusaders
1-2
Glentoran
Boyd (89')
Ogedi-Uzokwe (45+5'), Devlin (58')