Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).