Conference League
Jul 17, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
ET Seaview
  • Ross Clarke 47' goal
  • Daniel Larmour 49' goal
  • Philip Lowry 72' goal
  • Daniel Larmour 75' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 86' yellowcard
  • Robbie Weir 89' yellowcard
  • Jay Boyd 111' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Mendes 24'

Crusaders vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 11, 2024 6.30pm
Caernarfon 2 - 0 Crusaders

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 11, 2024 6.30pm
Caernarfon 2 - 0 Crusaders

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result

Crusaders 47.16% (-0.08)
Draw 22.4% (-0.14)
Caernarfon Town 30.44% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.18% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.91% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 35.09% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 42.91% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 57.09% (-0.87)
Over 4.5 24.52% (+0.73)
Under 4.5 75.48% (-0.72)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 84.62% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 15.38% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 55.82% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 44.18% (-0.50)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.02% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 22.98% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 43.23% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 56.77% (-0.75)

Score analysis

Crusaders 47.16%
Draw 22.41%
Caernarfon Town 30.44%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.66% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.96% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 47.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 6.7% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 3.53% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 2.05% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.41%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 7.16% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.51% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.28% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.21% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.44%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 11, 2024 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Oval
  • Morgan Owen 4' goal
  • Zack Clarke 37' goal
  • Zack Clarke 63' yellowcard
  • Darren Thomas 77' yellowcard
  • Morgan Owen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Offord 15'
  • yellowcard Jordan Stewart 31'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Philip Lowry 67'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 77'