Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown5 - 0Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Newtown
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 7-1 Caernarfon
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
50.88% ( -0.69) | 22.23% ( 0.26) | 26.89% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 63.04% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.25% ( -0.91) | 36.74% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.09% ( -1) | 58.91% ( 1) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( -0.55) | 14.71% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.1% ( -1.07) | 42.9% ( 1.07) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0.18) | 26.09% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0.24) | 61.14% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 50.88%
Caernarfon Town 26.89%
Draw 22.23%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.26% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.89% |
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
2-1
Caernarfon
Rushton (3'), Williams (23')
Wynne (55')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 23:41:54
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
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