Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
11
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-
Aaron Williams
40'
-
Aaron Williams
45'+3'
-
Rob Evans
51'
-
Shane Sutton
57'
-
Aaron Williams
71'
-
Henry Cowans
73'
-
Ryan Sears
77'
-
Ryan Sears
85'
-
Kieran Mills-Evans
89'
-
Matthew Jones
90'+3'
-
Dion Donohue
90'+5'
Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
Result
Newtown AFC
46.5%
▼
(-1.40)
Draw
23.68%
▲
(+0.38)
Caernarfon Town
29.81%
▲
(+1.03)
Both Teams to Score:
60.09%
▼
(-0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.39%
▼
(-1.14)
Under 2.5
41.61%
▲
(+1.14)
Over 3.5
35.99%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 3.5
64.01%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 4.5
19.01%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 4.5
80.99%
▲
(+0.89)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5
81.87%
▼
(-0.99)
Under 0.5
18.13%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 1.5
50.91%
▼
(-1.71)
Under 1.5
49.09%
▲
(+1.71)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5
73.4%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
26.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
38.17%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
61.83%
▼
(-0.14)
Score analysis
Newtown AFC
46.5%
Draw
23.68%
Caernarfon Town
29.81%
Newtown AFC
2-1
@
9.31%
▼
(-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 46.5%
1-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1
@
10.9%
▲
(+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.68%
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.68%
Caernarfon Town
1-2
@
7.22%
▲
(+0.19)
0-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.35)
0-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 29.81%
0-1 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.35)
0-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 29.81%
Head to Head
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Phil Mooney
40'
-
Zack Clarke
45'+4'
-
Adam Davies
53'
-
Phil Mooney
60'
-
Adam Davies
82'
-
Darren Thomas
84'
-
Louis Lloyd
90'+1'
-
Rob Evans
18'
-
Callum Roberts
68'
-
Zeli Ismail
80'
-
Hannoch Boakye
84'
-
Aaron Williams
90'+10'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Fidel O'Rourke
30'
-
Noah Edwards
62'
-
Louis Robles
8'
-
Aaron Williams
27'
-
Nick Rushton
53'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
4
-
Nick Rushton
3'
-
Aaron Williams
23'
-
Ryan Williams
49'
-
Ben Wynne
55'
-
Ben Wynne
73'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
10
-
Callum Roberts
45'
-
Lifumpa Mwandwe
45'+2'
-
88'
-
Dave Jones
90'+5'
-
Rob Hughes
40'
-
Noah Edwards
42'
-
Gruff John Williams
58'
-
Cai Jones
88'
-
Steve Evans
90'+1'
Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
3
-
Noah Edwards
24'
-
Steve Evans
34'
-
82'
-
Charles Jones
84'
-
24'
-
Jordan Evans
52'
-
Aaron Williams
85'
Welsh Premier League
-
Jack Kenny
9'
-
Jack Kenny
18'
-
Darren Thomas
59'
-
Darren Thomas
73'
-
Max Cleworth
76'
-
84'
-
Nick Rushton
39'
-
Lifumpa Mwandwe
44'
-
Kieran Mills-Evans
45'+5'
-
James Davies
76'
-
James Davies
80'
-
James Davies
82'
-
Craig Williams
90'