Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm

3

2

HT : 1 1

FT The KYMCO Stadium

Alex Pennock 31'
Chris Venables 45'+2'
Josh Yorwerth 66'
Mark Little 68'
Chris Venables 76'
Gruff John Williams 90'+11'

Marc Richard Williams 11'
Marc Richard Williams 31'
Zack Clarke 79'
Phil Mooney 90'+8'

Pen-y-Bont vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

L
L
D
D
W
W

Welsh Premier League

L
L
D
D
W
W

Last game

Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Colwyn Bay

Goals scored

52

Top scorer

Chris Venables

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
D
D
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
L
D
D
W
W

Last game

Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm

Aberystwyth 2 - 4 Caernarfon

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 52.93% ▼ (-0.05)

Draw 23.12% ▲ (+0.04)

Caernarfon Town 23.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

56.77% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.36% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 2.5 43.64% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 3.5 33.97% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 3.5 66.03% ▲ (+0.14)

Over 4.5 17.51% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 4.5 82.5% ▲ (+0.10)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 83.52% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 16.48% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 1.5 53.81% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 1.5 46.2% ▲ (+0.12)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.98% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 32.03% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 1.5 31.51% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 1.5 68.49% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 52.93%

Draw 23.12%

Caernarfon Town 23.96%

Pen-y-Bont

2-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.04)

2-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)

4-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)

4-0 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)

4-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 4.22%

Total : 52.93%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.02)

2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.04)

3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 23.12%

Caernarfon Town

1-2 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.61%

Total : 23.96%

Head to Head

Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm

5

1

HT : 3 0

FT The KYMCO Stadium

Keyon Reffell 9'
Ryan Reynolds 17'
Josh Yorwerth 32'
Kostya Georgievsky 72'
Tom Tweedy 82'

Iwan Cartwright 78'

Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Nathan Wood 22'
Ryan Reynolds 70'

Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Rob Hughes 45'
Mike Hayes 57'

Sam Snaith 4'
Ashley Evans 59'
Keane Watts 84'
Ashley Evans 90' (OG)

Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Nathan Wood 35'
Ashley Evans 61'

Noah Edwards 13'
Dion Donohue 33'
Rob Hughes 62'
Charles Jones 67'

May 1, 2021 2.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT

Jake Bickerstaff 20'
Sion Bradley 90'+4'

Kane Owen 34'
Lewis Harling 70'
Mattie Davies 78'
Ashley Evans 83'

Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Ben Ahmun 23'
Kostya Georgievsky 34'
Ashley Evans 61'
Rhys Griffiths 86'
Connor Davies 89'
Nathan Wood 90'+3'

Louis Malandjou 26'
Gruff John Williams 28'
Joe Williams 68'
Jack Kenny 90'

Form Data

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Colwyn Bay

Bala Town 2 - 1 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 0 Cardiff MU

Pontypridd 0 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Pen-y-Bont 2 - 0 Haverfordwest

Newtown 1 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Aberystwyth 2 - 4 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 4 Connah's Quay

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon