Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm

2

4

HT : 2 2

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Owen 4'
Iwan Lewis 26'
Louis Bradford 40'
Dave Jones 66'

Zack Clarke 6'
Zack Clarke 19'
Louis Lloyd 34'
Adam Davies 71'
Adam Davies 90'+2'

Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
L
D
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

L
L
D
L
L
W

Last game

Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm

New Saints 6 - 0 Aberystwyth

Goals scored

27

Top scorer

Iwan Lewis

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
D
D
W
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
D
D
W
W
L

Last game

Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm

Caernarfon 0 - 4 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

Aberystwyth Town 39.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 24.38% ▼ (-0.05)

Caernarfon Town 36.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

59.94% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.19% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 2.5 42.81% ▼ (-0.21)

Over 3.5 34.79% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 3.5 65.21% ▼ (-0.21)

Over 4.5 18.11% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 4.5 81.89% ▼ (-0.15)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.26% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 0.5 21.74% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 1.5 45.08% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 1.5 54.92% ▼ (-0.16)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.59% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 0.5 23.41% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 1.5 42.6% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 1.5 57.4% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Aberystwyth Town 39.44%

Draw 24.38%

Caernarfon Town 36.18%

Aberystwyth Town

2-1 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)

4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.55%

Total : 39.44%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.05)

2-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.05)

3-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.23%

Total : 24.38%

Caernarfon Town

1-2 @ 8.19%

0-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.05)

0-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)

2-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.11%

Total : 36.18%

Head to Head

Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm

3

2

HT : 1 2

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 39'
Mark Cadwallader 55'
Niall Flint 90'+4'

Rob Hughes 2'
Laurie Bell 45'+1'

Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Niall Flint 41'

Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 8'
Niall Flint 77'

Rhys Alun 89'

Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Fidel O'Rourke 20'
Lloyd Marsh-Hughes 73'

Sam Litchfield 81'

Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Byron Harrison 28'
Callum Morris 71'

Steffan Davies 31'
Jamie Veale 45'
Lee Jenkins 71'
Owen Orford 72'
Jack Thorn 73'

Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT

Dion Donohue 4'
Steve Evans 10'
Gruff John Williams 25'
Gruff John Williams 33'
Jakub Ojrzynski 58'
Danny Gosset 68'
Iwan Cartwright 90'

Harry Franklin 28'
Matthew Jones 59'
Matthew Jones 62'
Rhys Davies 78'

Form Data

New Saints 6 - 0 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Pontypridd

Newtown 0 - 0 Aberystwyth

Connah's Quay 4 - 0 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Aberystwyth 3 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 4 Connah's Quay

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Newtown

Colwyn Bay 0 - 4 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 3 - 2 Caernarfon