Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
1
-
Lewis Sirrell
29'
-
Danny Gosset
7'
-
Dion Donohue
32'
-
Darren Thomas
36'
-
Darren Thomas
39'
-
Phil Mooney
45'+2'
-
Sion Bradley
57'
-
Adam Davies
61'
-
Zack Clarke
66'
-
Adam Davies
71'
-
Louis Lloyd
89'
-
Louis Lloyd
89'
Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result
Colwyn Bay
68.77%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
17.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Caernarfon Town
13.81%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
57.75%
▼
(-0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.65%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
33.34%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
44.88%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
55.11%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 4.5
26.19%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 4.5
73.8%
▲
(+0.35)
Colwyn Bay Goals
Over 0.5
91.19%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
8.81%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
69.79%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
30.2%
▲
(+0.12)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.32%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
36.67%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 1.5
26.54%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 1.5
73.46%
▲
(+0.49)
Score analysis
Colwyn Bay
68.77%
Draw
17.41%
Caernarfon Town
13.81%
Colwyn Bay
2-1
@
9.56%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 68.77%
2-0 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 68.77%
Draw
1-1
@
7.87%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.41%
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.41%
Caernarfon Town
1-2
@
3.95%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 13.81%
0-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 13.81%