Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT The Oval

Niall Flint 41'

Caernarfon Town vs Aberystwyth Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

L
L
W
L
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm

Pontypridd 1 - 0 Caernarfon

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Fidel O'Rourke

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
W
L
D
L
L

Welsh Premier League

L
W
L
D
L
L

Last game

Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Haverfordwest

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Jonathan Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 41.67% ▲ (+1.36)

Draw 25.1% ▼ (-0.48)

Aberystwyth Town 33.23% ▼ (-0.88)

Both Teams to Score:

56.74% ▲ (+1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.3% ▲ (+1.90)

Under 2.5 46.7% ▼ (-1.90)

Over 3.5 31.03% ▲ (+1.76)

Under 3.5 68.97% ▼ (-1.75)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.65% ▲ (+1.51)

Under 0.5 22.35% ▼ (-1.50)

Over 1.5 44.17% ▲ (+2.21)

Under 1.5 55.83% ▼ (-2.20)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.07% ▲ (+0.38)

Under 0.5 26.93% ▼ (-0.38)

Over 1.5 37.74% ▲ (+0.50)

Under 1.5 62.27% ▼ (-0.49)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 41.67%

Draw 25.1%

Aberystwyth Town 33.23%

Caernarfon Town

1-0 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.32)

2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.18)

2-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.07)

3-1 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.28)

3-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.18)

3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.22)

4-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.18)

4-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.12)

4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-95.42)

Other @ 2.31%

Total : 41.67%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.83% ▼ (-0.28)

0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.50)

2-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.18)

3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.11)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 25.1%

Aberystwyth Town

0-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.56)

1-2 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.11)

0-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.31)

1-3 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.11)

0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.11)

1-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.08%

Total : 33.23%

Head to Head

Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 8'
Niall Flint 77'

Rhys Alun 89'

Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT The Oval

Fidel O'Rourke 20'
Lloyd Marsh-Hughes 73'

Sam Litchfield 81'

Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Byron Harrison 28'
Callum Morris 71'

Steffan Davies 31'
Jamie Veale 45'
Lee Jenkins 71'
Owen Orford 72'
Jack Thorn 73'

Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT

Dion Donohue 4'
Steve Evans 10'
Gruff John Williams 25'
Gruff John Williams 33'
Jakub Ojrzynski 58'
Danny Gosset 68'
Iwan Cartwright 90'

Harry Franklin 28'
Matthew Jones 59'
Matthew Jones 62'
Rhys Davies 78'

Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jack Rimmer 6'
39'
64'

Darren Thomas 17'
Tyler French 19'
31'
32'

Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Jack Kenny 52'
54'
J. Bickerstaff 84'
Sion Bradley 88'
89'
90'+4'

John Owen 40'
Mike Williams 44'
John Owen 78'
Lee Jenkins 90'+5'

Form Data

Pontypridd 1 - 0 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Airbus UK 0 - 3 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 5 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 0 - 1 New Saints

Bala Town 3 - 0 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 0 - 1 Haverfordwest

Aberystwyth 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Aberystwyth 0 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Flint Town 1 - 1 Aberystwyth

Newtown 6 - 1 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Newtown