Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT UWA Sports Park A
  • Ben Margetson 39' goal

Pontypridd United vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Flint Town 4 - 1 Pontypridd
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Aberystwyth 2 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fidel O'Rourke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result

Pontypridd United 43.58%
Draw 23.45%
Caernarfon Town 32.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.57%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.96%
Under 2.5 39.04%
Over 3.5 38.63%
Under 3.5 61.36%

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 81.7%
Under 0.5 18.29%
Over 1.5 50.63%
Under 1.5 49.37%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.58%
Under 0.5 23.42%
Over 1.5 42.58%
Under 1.5 57.42%

Score analysis

Pontypridd United 43.58%
Draw 23.44%
Caernarfon Town 32.97%
Pontypridd United
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.44%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.97%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • Joe Evans 37' goal
  • Jarrod Wright 74' goal
  • Dan Williams 90'+5' goal
  • goal Darren Thomas 60'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Iwan Cartwright 33' yellowcard
  • Sion Bradley 62' goal
  • Joe Faux 65' goal
  • Danny Gosset 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Woodiwiss 30'