Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
3 - 2
Haverfordwest

Evans (37'), Vincent (45+3'), Green (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wilson (11'), Davies (73' pen.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
33.74% (0.199 0.2)24.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.43% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.87% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7% (0.111 0.11)45.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.105 0.1)67.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.172 0.17)25.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.23099999999999 0.23)60.96% (-0.232 -0.23)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)21.86% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)55.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 33.74%
    Haverfordwest County 41.44%
    Draw 24.82%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.74%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.44%