Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • goal John Disney 15'
  • goal Michael Wilde 20'
  • goal Danny Holmes 28'
  • goal Mike Hayes 36'
  • goal Callum Morris 74'

Pontypridd United vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Airbus UK 0 - 4 Pontypridd
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay 3 - 1 Newtown
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Michael Wilde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result

Pontypridd United 26.84% (-0.18)
Draw 26.08% (-0.47)
Connah's Quay Nomads 47.08% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (+1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.36% (+1.65)
Under 2.5 53.64% (-1.65)
Over 3.5 24.86% (+1.37)
Under 3.5 75.14% (-1.37)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 64.98% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 35.02% (-0.74)
Over 1.5 28.24% (+0.77)
Under 1.5 71.76% (-0.77)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 77.22% (+1.01)
Under 0.5 22.78% (-1.01)
Over 1.5 43.53% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 56.47% (-1.47)

Score analysis

Pontypridd United 26.84%
Draw 26.08%
Connah's Quay Nomads 47.07%
Pontypridd United
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.38)
2-1 @ 6.5% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.27% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.68% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 26.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.53)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.08%
Connah's Quay Nomads
0-1 @ 11.79% (-0.43)
1-2 @ 9.16% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 8.73% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.52% (+0.20)
0-3 @ 4.31% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.15)
1-4 @ 1.67% (+0.13)
0-4 @ 1.59% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.07%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 24, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
  • Michael Wilde 25' goal