Connah's Quay1 - 0Pontypridd
Stratulis (54'), J (57'), Disney (90+3'), Disney (90+3')
Lewis (38'), Wright (53'), Morris (57'), Rees (61')
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 14.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
63.69% ( -0.09) | 21.77% ( 0.03) | 14.54% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 44.81% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.66% ( -0.01) | 51.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.83% ( -0.01) | 73.17% ( 0.01) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( -0.03) | 15.5% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% ( -0.06) | 44.4% ( 0.06) |
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.04% ( 0.09) | 46.96% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.54% ( 0.07) | 82.46% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 63.69% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.19% Total : 14.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 36 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 28 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 45 | -31 | 10 |
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