MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 01:10:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 24, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Pontypridd

Wilde (25')
Stratulis (54'), J (57'), Disney (90+3'), Disney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (38'), Wright (53'), Morris (57'), Rees (61')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 14.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPontypridd Town AFC
63.69% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 21.77% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 14.54% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.81% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)51.34% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.17% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)15.5% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)44.4% (0.064 0.06)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.04% (0.088999999999999 0.09)46.96% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.54% (0.067999999999998 0.07)82.46% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 63.69%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 14.54%
    Draw 21.76%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.86% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05%
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 63.69%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.76%
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 14.54%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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