Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
2 - 0
Connah's Quay

Jones (22'), Rees (83')
Lewis (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nash (34'), Wilde (49'), Horan (62'), Malkin (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

Last Six:
    Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Cardiff MU
    Saturday, May 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

    Connah's Quay Nomads

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
      Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.79%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

      Result
      Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
      26.79% (-1.566 -1.57)27.17% (-0.49 -0.49)46.04% (2.06 2.06)
      Both teams to score 47.01% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      42.27% (0.96 0.96)57.73% (-0.957 -0.96)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      21.53% (0.752 0.75)78.48% (-0.748 -0.75)
      Cardiff MU Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      62.73% (-0.759 -0.76)37.27% (0.76300000000001 0.76)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      25.94% (-0.758 -0.76)74.06% (0.76100000000001 0.76)
      Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.95% (1.473 1.47)25.05% (-1.471 -1.47)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      40.27% (1.996 2)59.73% (-1.992 -1.99)
      Score Analysis
          Cardiff MU 26.79%
          Connah's Quay Nomads 46.03%
          Draw 27.16%
      Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
      1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.542 -0.54)
      2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.229 -0.23)
      2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.368 -0.37)
      3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
      3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.155 -0.16)
      3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
      Other @ 1.74%
      Total : 26.79%
      		1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
      0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.345 -0.35)
      2-2 @ 4.36% (0.027 0.03)
      Other @ 0.72%
      Total : 27.16%
      		0-1 @ 12.92% (0.07 0.07)
      0-2 @ 8.95% (0.418 0.42)
      1-2 @ 8.83% (0.236 0.24)
      0-3 @ 4.13% (0.355 0.36)
      1-3 @ 4.07% (0.272 0.27)
      2-3 @ 2.01% (0.095 0.09)
      0-4 @ 1.43% (0.176 0.18)
      1-4 @ 1.41% (0.149 0.15)
      Other @ 2.29%
      Total : 46.03%

      Head to Head
      Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
      Connah's Quay
      0-0
      Cardiff MU

      Curran (7'), Horan (49'), Harrington (82')

      Lang (90+2'), Roscrow (90+4')
      Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
      Cardiff MU
      1-1
      Connah's Quay
      Roberts (90')
      McCarthy (1'), (72')
      McCarthy (72')
      Insall (16')
      Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
      Connah's Quay
      3-1
      Cardiff MU
      Wilde (2'), Horan (63'), Williams (88')
      Morris (84')
      Lewis (18')
      Oct 10, 2020 2.30pm
      Cardiff MU
      1-2
      Connah's Quay
      Rees (42')
      Rees (45'), Warwick (74'), Evans (84')
      Farquharson (77'), Curran (88')
      Disney (20'), Dool (24'), Brass (90')
      Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
      Cardiff MU
      0-1
      Connah's Quay

      Edwards (84')
      Woolridge (93' og.)
      Bakare (10'), Roberts (36'), Insall (70'), Disney (86')