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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Bala Town logo

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town

Stratulis (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kay (61'), Southern (83')
Kay (70'), Southern (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
42.06% (-0.143 -0.14) 28.14% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.8% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (0.097999999999999 0.1)59.8% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91% (0.074000000000002 0.07)80.08% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)28.07% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.17400000000001 0.17)35.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.177 0.18)72.76% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 42.05%
    Bala Town 29.8%
    Draw 28.14%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 29.8%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-0
Connah's Quay
Ebbe (45+2'), Shannon (90+5')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
0-4
Connah's Quay

Ramsey (45'), (63'), Shannon (65')
Venables (62'), Smith (75')
Morris (3' pen., 59'), Curran (24'), Harrington (49')
Eardley (11')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
Bala Town

Moore (82'), Edwards (90+4')
Horan (27')
Edwards (29')
Apr 28, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-1
Connah's Quay
Horan (18' og.), Jones (72')
Shannon (32'), Smith (54'), Ramsey (78'), Kay (88'), Smith (90+3')
Peate (78')
Morris (80' pen.)
Poole (75')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Bala Town
Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')

Correia (27'), (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
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5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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