Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town

Stratulis (23')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kay (61'), Southern (83')
Kay (70'), Southern (90')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Bala Town
42.06% ( -0.14)	28.14% ( -0.01)	29.8% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 46.05% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.2% (

0.1)

59.8% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.91% (

0.07)

80.08% (

-0.08)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.03)

28.07% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27% (

-0.04)

63.73% (

0.04)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02% (

0.17)

35.98% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24% (

0.18)

72.76% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 42.05%

Bala Town 29.8%

Draw 28.14%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Bala Town
1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 42.05%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 29.8%