Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

McManus (42'), Routledge (80')
Davies (78'), Clark (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wilde (39')
Stratulis (21'), Horan (81')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
49.39% ( 0.52)	26.64% ( 0.74)	23.97% ( -1.25)

Both teams to score 46.13% (

-3.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.33% (

-3.6)

57.67% (

3.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.57% (

-2.93)

78.42% (

2.93)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56% (

-1.3)

23.44% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55% (

-1.92)

57.45% (

1.92)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26% (

-3.13)

39.74% (

3.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.59% (

-3.02)

76.41% (

3.02)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 49.38%

Connah's Quay Nomads 23.97%

Draw 26.64%

The New Saints	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 13.51% ( 1.29) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.38%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 1.21) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.38% Total : 23.97%