Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid
Newtown logo

Bala Town
3 - 0
Newtown

Edwards (30'), Shannon (32'), Nalatche Mendes (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hughes (72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Flint Town
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
51.42% (2.742 2.74)24.67% (-0.243 -0.24)23.9% (-2.497 -2.5)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-1.675 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-1.033 -1.03)50.31% (1.038 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.924 -0.92)72.25% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.71799999999999 0.72)19.55% (-0.715 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (1.154 1.15)51.47% (-1.151 -1.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-2.678 -2.68)35.72% (2.682 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-2.862 -2.86)72.49% (2.864 2.86)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 51.42%
    Newtown AFC 23.9%
    Draw 24.67%
Bala TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.71 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.772 0.77)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.521 0.52)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.253 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.42%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.347 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 23.9%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Bala Town
1-0
Newtown
Venables (61')
Shannon (19'), Edwards (82'), Ramsey (86')

Mwandwe (21'), Williams (87')
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
0-2
Bala Town

Hughes (75')
Peate (40'), Venables (70')
Peate (48')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
1-0
Newtown
Evans (45+1')
Woods (65'), Evans (85')

Jones (39'), Taylor (58'), Roberts (85'), Williams (90+2')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
3-3
Bala Town
Evans (53', 80'), Rushton (75')
Walker (33'), Jones (52')
Peate (51', 86'), Nalatche Mendes (58')
Southern (3'), Ramsey (54')
Nov 27, 2020 7.45pm
Bala Town
3-1
Newtown
Evans (30', 45'), Leslie (90+5')
Evans (73'), Pryce (90')
Williams (88')
Edwards (88')
rhs 2.0


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