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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

Newtown
1 - 2
Spartak Trnava

Williams (35' pen.)
Walker (3'), Ismail (10'), Sutton (38'), Wharton (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stefanik (73'), Bukata (79')
Dyjan (11'), Kozak (71'), Bukata (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Newtown AFC and Spartak Trnava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

Last Six:
    Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
    Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

    Spartak Trnava

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
      Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.

      Result
      Newtown AFCDrawSpartak Trnava
      42.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)33.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
      Both teams to score 63.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      61.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)38.22% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      39.5% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
      Newtown AFC Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      81.74%18.25%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      50.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
      Spartak Trnava Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      77.41% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)22.58% (0.023 0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      43.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)56.18% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
      Score Analysis
          Newtown AFC 42.87%
          Spartak Trnava 33.78%
          Draw 23.33%
      Newtown AFCDrawSpartak Trnava
      2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      1-0 @ 7.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
      2-0 @ 5.96% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
      3-1 @ 5.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
      3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
      3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      4-1 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      4-0 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
      Other @ 3.71%
      Total : 42.87%
      		1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      0-0 @ 4.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
      3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
      Other @ 0.33%
      Total : 23.33%
      		1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-1 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
      1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
      2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
      Other @ 3.29%
      Total : 33.78%

      How you voted: Newtown vs Spartak Trnava

      Newtown AFC
      27.8%
      Draw
      16.7%
      Spartak Trnava
      55.6%
      18
      Head to Head
      Jul 21, 2022 7.30pm
      Spartak Trnava
      4-1
      Newtown
      Yusuf (17', 41', 44'), Ivan (75')
      Stetina (90+1')
      Cowans (23')
      Jones (35'), Walker (76')