Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Connah's Quay

Arnison (54'), Thorn (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Litchfield (67' og.)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-4 Bala Town
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
16.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)21.28% (0.055 0.05)62.22% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.68% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (-0.155 -0.16)45.82% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (-0.146 -0.15)68.13% (0.143 0.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)40.96% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47% (-0.029 -0.03)77.52% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)14.15% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.17% (-0.161 -0.16)41.83% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 16.49%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 62.21%
    Draw 21.28%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 5.18% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.49%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 11.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 11.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 7.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 62.21%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Allen (76')
Thorn (61')
Curran (39')
Eardley (90+2')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Aberystwyth
Curran (30')

Thorn (39'), Franklin (55'), Rimmer (85')
Dec 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-3
Connah's Quay
Hewitt (54' pen.)
Evans (90')
Jones (60')
Davies (22'), Wilde (81', 83')
Roberts (26'), Curran (51'), Morris (53'), Edwards (90')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Aberystwyth
Disney (9' pen.), Edwards (27')
Holmes (10')