Sep 16, 2022 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Park Avenue Ground

Harry Arnison 54'
Jack Thorn 82'

Sam Litchfield 67' (OG)

Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

L
L
L
L
W
D

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
L
W
D

Last game

Sep 2, 2022 8.00pm

Aberystwyth 1 - 4 Bala Town

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Jonathan Evans

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

W
W
L
W
L
D

Welsh Premier League

W
W
L
W
L
D

Last game

Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm

Connah's Quay 2 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Michael Wilde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Aberystwyth Town 16.49% ▲ (+0.05)

Draw 21.28% ▲ (+0.06)

Connah's Quay Nomads 62.22% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score:

50.68% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.18% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 2.5 45.82% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 3.5 31.86% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 3.5 68.13% ▲ (+0.15)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 40.96% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 22.47% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 77.52% ▲ (+0.03)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 85.84% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 0.5 14.15% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 1.5 58.17% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 1.5 41.83% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Aberystwyth Town 16.49%

Draw 21.28%

Connah's Quay Nomads 62.21%

Aberystwyth Town

1-0 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.04)

2-1 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 1.84%

Total : 16.49%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)

2-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.96%

Total : 21.28%

Connah's Quay Nomads

0-1 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.03)

0-4 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.02)

1-4 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)

2-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)

0-5 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)

1-5 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.67%

Total : 62.21%

Head to Head

Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jack Thorn 61'
Cameron Allen 76'

Craig Curran 39'
Neal Eardley 90'+2'

Dec 3, 2021 8.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT

John Owen 45'
Jamie Veale 52'
Harry Franklin 57'
Jack Rimmer 87'

Paulo Mendes 31'
Paulo Mendes 52'
Oliver Byrne 81'
George Horan 87'
Declan Poole 90'

Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Craig Curran 30'

Jack Thorn 39'
Harry Franklin 55'
Jack Rimmer 85'

Dec 4, 2020 7.45pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT

Steven Hewitt 54'
Owain Jones 60'
Jonathan Evans 90'

Daniel Davies 22'
Callum Roberts 26'
Craig Curran 51'
Callum Morris 53'
Michael Wilde 81'
Michael Wilde 83'
Aeron Edwards 90'

Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT

John Disney 9'
Danny Holmes 10'
Aeron Edwards 27'

Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Park Avenue Ground (Aberystwyth, Ceredigion)

Matthew Jones 90'

Jamie Insall 38'
Danny Holmes 48'
John Disney 63'
Jamie Insall 75'
Callum Roberts 83'
Jay Owen 89'
Lewis Brass 90'

Form Data

Aberystwyth 1 - 4 Bala Town

Aberystwyth 0 - 2 New Saints

Pontypridd 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 0 - 4 Cardiff MU

Airbus UK 1 - 2 Aberystwyth

Aberystwyth 1 - 1 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 2 - 0 Pen-y-Bont

Connah's Quay 1 - 0 Bala Town

New Saints 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 0 Airbus UK

Cardiff MU 2 - 0 Connah's Quay

Aberystwyth 1 - 1 Connah's Quay