Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airbus UK Broughton win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.