Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
2 - 1
Aberystwyth

Jones (26'), Ahmun (75')
Green (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darlington (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd Town AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-4 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
54.05% (0.152 0.15)23.76% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.19% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)48.27% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (0.073 0.07)70.42% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.085999999999999 0.09)17.77% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (0.148 0.15)48.47% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.83% (-0.055 -0.05)36.17% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04% (-0.055 -0.05)72.95% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 54.04%
    Aberystwyth Town 22.19%
    Draw 23.76%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 54.04%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.19%