Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Pontypridd

Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Woodiwiss (30')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-1 Flint Town
Saturday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
23.8% (-0.22 -0.22)22.82% (-0.142 -0.14)53.37% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.55% (0.419 0.42)42.45% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.15% (0.417 0.42)64.85% (-0.417 -0.42)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.045000000000002 0.05)31.5% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.052 0.05)67.89% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (0.277 0.28)15.89% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.87% (0.506 0.51)45.13% (-0.505 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 23.8%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 53.37%
    Draw 22.81%
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.34% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 6% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.19% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.39% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.37%