Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.