Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.
0.11) 
-0.06) 
