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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Davies (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wynne (52')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:
    Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-2 Cardiff MU
    Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

    Caernarfon Town

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
      Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.32%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.

      Result
      Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
      56.46% (0.10700000000001 0.11) 23.22% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 20.32% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
      Both teams to score 51.53% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      51.77% (0.165 0.16)48.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      29.62% (0.15 0.15)70.39% (-0.149 -0.15)
      Haverfordwest County Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      83.12% (0.097999999999999 0.1)16.88% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      53.09% (0.173 0.17)46.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
      Caernarfon Town Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      61.99% (0.039999999999999 0.04)38.01% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      25.22% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
      Score Analysis
          Haverfordwest County 56.45%
          Caernarfon Town 20.32%
          Draw 23.22%
      Haverfordwest CountyDrawCaernarfon Town
      1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
      2-0 @ 10.15%
      2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
      3-0 @ 6.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
      3-1 @ 5.82% (0.023 0.02)
      3-2 @ 2.82% (0.014 0.01)
      4-0 @ 2.68% (0.017 0.02)
      4-1 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
      4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      5-0 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
      5-1 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
      Other @ 2.01%
      Total : 56.45%
      		1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
      0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
      2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
      Other @ 0.11%
      Total : 23.22%
      		0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.035 -0.04)
      1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
      0-2 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
      1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      2-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
      0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
      Other @ 1.55%
      Total : 20.32%

      Head to Head
      Mar 26, 2022 3pm
      Haverfordwest
      0-0
      Caernarfon

      Shepherd (5'), Williams (33'), Rees (90+3')

      Disney (12'), Holmes (32'), Horan (42'), Owens (83')
      Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
      Haverfordwest
      1-2
      Caernarfon
      Jones-Thomas (68')
      Rees (42'), Patten (63')
      Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
      Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')
      Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
      Caernarfon
      2-0
      Haverfordwest
      Gosset (74'), Jones (90+4')
      Hughes (32'), Simpson (42'), Thomas (66')

      Shepherd (59'), Jones (72'), Summerfield (90+4')
      Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
      Caernarfon
      1-4
      Haverfordwest
      Edwards (25')
      Kenny (39'), Thomas (68'), Edwards (70')
      Tibbetts (7')
      Wilson (29'), Fawcett (37', 56'), Griffiths (87')
      Fawcett (35')
      Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
      Haverfordwest
      1-1
      Caernarfon

      (42'), (90+2')
      Hayes (74')
      Williams (29'), (64'), Tibbetts (82')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      Championship Round
      1The New SaintsNew Saints9900115189789
      2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay933370412959
      3Bala TownBala Town93423629750
      4Newtown AFCNewtown92254645141
      5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon92345068-1840
      6Cardiff MUCardiff MU91263460-2639
      Relegation Round
      1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest94323939043
      2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont95314537840
      3Barry Town UnitedBarry91623653-1732
      4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth92342457-3324
      5Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd93333669-3322
      6Colwyn Bay92253366-3322
       
      Regular Season
      1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
      2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
      3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
      4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
      5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
      6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
      7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
      8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
      9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
      10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
      11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
      12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
      > Welsh Premier League Full Table


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