Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Davies (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wynne (52')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, April 23 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Flint Town United	0	0	0
7	Haverfordwest County	0	0	0
8	Newtown AFC	0	0	0

Caernarfon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Bala Town	0	0	0
3	Caernarfon Town	0	0	0
4	Cardiff MU	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haverfordwest County in this match.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Caernarfon Town
56.46% ( 0.11)	23.22% ( -0.06)	20.32% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

0.16)

48.23% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

0.15)

70.39% (

-0.15)

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

0.1)

16.88% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09% (

0.17)

46.91% (

-0.17)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.99% (

0.04)

38.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.22% (

0.04)

74.78% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 56.45%

Caernarfon Town 20.32%

Draw 23.22%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Caernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.45%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.32%