Haverfordwest
1 - 2
Caernarfon

Jones-Thomas (68')
Rees (42'), Patten (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Edwards (30'), Jones (61')
Gosset (35'), Evans (45'), Edwards (64'), Ojrzynski (85')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest County	Draw	Caernarfon Town
40.98%	26.23%	32.79%

Both teams to score 52.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.33%

51.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.55%

73.45%

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11%

24.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5%

59.49%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31%

65.69%

Score Analysis

Haverfordwest County 40.98%

Caernarfon Town 32.79%

Draw 26.22%

Haverfordwest County	Draw	Caernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.98%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.79%

Haverfordwest1 - 2Caernarfon

Data Analysis

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Haverfordwest
1 - 2
Caernarfon