Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 2
New Saints


Flint (33'), Horwood (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clark (49'), McManus (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

Last Six:
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
19.64% (0.136 0.14)21.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)58.69% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 55.51% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.181 0.18)42.39% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (0.18 0.18)64.79% (-0.184 -0.18)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.244 0.24)35.34% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.254 0.25)72.1% (-0.258 -0.26)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (0.013999999999996 0.01)14.13% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.21% (0.029000000000003 0.03)41.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 19.64%
    The New Saints 58.69%
    Draw 21.66%
Aberystwyth TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 5.29% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.64%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.66%
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 6.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 3.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 58.69%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
1-0
New Saints
Owen (85')
Jones (36'), Evans (58')

Clark (62'), (85'), Marriott (89')
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
New Saints
3-0
Aberystwyth
McManus (7' pen., 43'), Astles (64')
Routledge (33'), Davies (62'), Williams (74'), Harrison (83')

Davies (66'), Evans (79'), Franklin (82'), Veale (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
New Saints
4-1
Aberystwyth
Ebbe (4'), Draper (64', 84', 89')
Cieslewicz (30'), Holland (67')
Hewitt (34')
Evans (25'), J (55'), Davies (61')
Oct 16, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
2-2
New Saints
Falingo (63'), Davies (71')
Davies (45+1')
Robles (37'), Clark (83')
Holland (45+1'), Hudson (45+1'), (90+1')
Holland (90+1')
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
New Saints
2-0
Aberystwyth
Davies (3'), Brobbel (42')
Routledge (86')
rhs 2.0


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