Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Pen-y-Bont

Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wood (81')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
57.78% ( -1.55)	23.33% ( 0.35)	18.89% ( 1.2)

Both teams to score 48.92% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.47% (

0.31)

50.53% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.55% (

0.27)

72.45% (

-0.27)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

-0.43)

17.24% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46% (

-0.77)

47.54% (

0.77)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.11% (

1.59)

40.89% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.54% (

1.39)

77.46% (

-1.39)

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 57.78%

Pen-y-Bont 18.89%

Draw 23.32%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.78%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.04% Total : 18.89%