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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
3 - 2
Haverfordwest

Kavanagh (15'), Reffell (49'), Reynolds (72')
Borge (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fawcett (18'), Humphreys (88')
Jenkins (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

Last Six:
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-1 Flint Town
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Airbus UK
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
42.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 24.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 32.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.99% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.009999999999998 0.01)62.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 42.33%
    Haverfordwest County 32.72%
    Draw 24.94%
Pen-y-BontDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
2-2
Pen-y-Bont
Watts (7'), Touray Sisay (80')
Rees (42'), Rees (88'), Richards (88')
Ahmun (12'), Owen (43')
Morris (44'), Davies (72'), Evans (88')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Haverfordwest
Wood (54'), Borge (74')
Waite (38'), Owen (62'), Evans (75')
Touray Sisay (90+3')
Patten (49')
Apr 2, 2021 5pm
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Haverfordwest
Snaith (45+1'), Davies (60')
Jefferies (21'), Georgievsky (55')

Summerfield (90')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Haverfordwest
0-4
Pen-y-Bont

Fawcett (25')
Jefferies (26'), Dalton (41'), Griffiths (81', 88')
Davies (33'), Harling (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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