Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
3 - 0
Pontypridd

Jones (39', 75'), Evans (61')
Jones (32'), Baker (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Green (26'), Knott (60')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff MU

Last Six:
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawPontypridd Town AFC
49.95% (0.275 0.27)25.13% (-0.035 -0.04)24.91% (-0.247 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-0.058 -0.06)51.31% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)73.14% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.090999999999994 0.09)20.55% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (0.147 0.15)53.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (-0.244 -0.24)35.37% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (-0.253 -0.25)72.13% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 49.94%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 24.91%
    Draw 25.13%
Cardiff MUDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.91%