Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
5 - 1
Cardiff MU

Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Cardiff MU
27.42% ( -0.24)	26.2% ( -0.19)	46.38% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23% (

0.6)

53.77% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.75% (

0.51)

75.25% (

-0.51)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.38% (

0.13)

34.62% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

0.14)

71.34% (

-0.14)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

0.46)

23.15% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

0.67)

57.03% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 27.42%

Cardiff MU 46.37%

Draw 26.2%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Cardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.42%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.37%