Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon5 - 1Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Edwards (80')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Pen-y-Bont | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-4 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Cardiff MU | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Flint Town United | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
27.42% ( -0.24) | 26.2% ( -0.19) | 46.38% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
