Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	The New Saints
25.44% ( -0.54)	25.25% ( 0.28)	49.3% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.64% (

-1.56)

51.36% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.82% (

-1.38)

73.18% (

1.39)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

-1.3)

34.95% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

-1.39)

71.69% (

1.39)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-0.52)

20.85% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.47% (

-0.82)

53.53% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 25.44%

The New Saints 49.3%

Draw 25.24%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	The New Saints
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.44%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.3%