Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • Dan Williams 28' yellowcard
  • 53' yellowcard
  • Ben Ahmun 65' yellowcard
  • 70' yellowcard
  • goal Declan McManus 29'
  • yellowcard Jon Routledge 31'
  • goal Ryan Brobbel 69'

Pontypridd United vs The New Saints - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Cardiff MU 3 - 0 Pontypridd
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 30, 2022 8.00pm
Aberystwyth 0 - 2 New Saints
Goals scored
112
Top scorer
Declan McManus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

Pontypridd United 25.44% (-0.55)
Draw 25.25% (+0.29)
The New Saints 49.3% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% (-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.64% (-1.57)
Under 2.5 51.36% (+1.57)
Over 3.5 26.82% (-1.39)
Under 3.5 73.18% (+1.39)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 65.05% (-1.30)
Under 0.5 34.95% (+1.31)
Over 1.5 28.31% (-1.39)
Under 1.5 71.69% (+1.40)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 79.15% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 20.85% (+0.53)
Over 1.5 46.47% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 53.53% (+0.83)

Score analysis

Pontypridd United 25.44%
Draw 25.24%
The New Saints 49.3%
Pontypridd United
1-0 @ 7.66% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 7.28% (+0.45)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.21)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.24%
The New Saints
0-1 @ 11.42% (+0.53)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.96% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 4.68% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.3%