Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.