Oct 28, 2022 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Deeside College Stadium

Callum Morris 27'
Michael Wilde 43'
Mike Hayes 65'

Aaron Williams 82'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
L

Last game

Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Connah's Quay

Goals scored

45

Top scorer

Michael Wilde

Newtown AFC

All competitions

L
W
L
L
D
L

Welsh Premier League

L
W
L
L
D
L

Last game

Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

Newtown 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 56.96% ▼ (-1.39)

Draw 23.54% ▲ (+0.44)

Newtown AFC 19.5% ▲ (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score:

49.28% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.42% ▼ (-0.45)

Under 2.5 50.57% ▲ (+0.45)

Over 3.5 27.51% ▼ (-0.40)

Under 3.5 72.49% ▲ (+0.40)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 82.45% ▼ (-0.66)

Under 0.5 17.55% ▲ (+0.66)

Over 1.5 51.92% ▼ (-1.16)

Under 1.5 48.08% ▲ (+1.16)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 59.77% ▲ (+0.82)

Under 0.5 40.23% ▼ (-0.82)

Over 1.5 23.13% ▲ (+0.73)

Under 1.5 76.86% ▼ (-0.73)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 56.95%

Draw 23.53%

Newtown AFC 19.5%

Connah's Quay Nomads

1-0 @ 12.28% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.28)

2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.30)

3-1 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.15)

4-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.20)

3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.12)

4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 3.56%

Total : 56.95%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.21)

0-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.13)

2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 0.86%

Total : 23.53%

Newtown AFC

0-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.26)

1-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.21)

0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.18)

1-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.10)

2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.06)

Other @ 2.17%

Total : 19.5%

Head to Head

Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Zeli Ismail 29'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 38'

Dion Donohue 38'

Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm

0

4

HT : 0 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

Noah Edwards 23'
Danny Gosset 72'

Lifumpa Mwandwe 9'
Nick Rushton 34'
Craig Williams 48'
Craig Williams 51'
Jamie Breese 90'+4'

Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Ryan Sears 20'
Craig Williams 35'
Ryan Sears 37'
Jake Walker 44'
Callum Roberts 83'
George Hughes 89'

Craig Curran 22'
Callum Morris 25'
Declan Poole 63'
Craig Curran 69'

Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT

Neal Eardley 43'
Callum Morris 61'
Danny Holmes 90'

Shane Sutton 25'
Danny Holmes 45'+1' (OG)
Craig Williams 56'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 76'

Apr 2, 2021 5.00pm

1

5

HT : 1 1

FT

Jamie Breese 3'
Kieran Mills-Evans 69'

Craig Curran 20'
Michael Wilde 55'
Neil Danns 64'
Callum Morris 67'
Callum Morris 76'
Michael Wilde 85'
Jamie Insall 90'

Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Deeside College Stadium

19'
Jamie Insall 24'
George Horan 28'
Michael Wilde 59'

Alex Fletcher 15'
61'

Form Data

Pen-y-Bont 0 - 1 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

Connah's Quay 1 - 0 Haverfordwest

Caernarfon 0 - 2 Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay 1 - 0 Pontypridd

Aberystwyth 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Newtown 0 - 1 Cardiff MU

Pontypridd 1 - 4 Newtown

New Saints 4 - 1 Newtown

Newtown 0 - 2 Bala Town

Airbus UK 4 - 4 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 3 Pen-y-Bont