MX23RW : Friday, December 13 17:26:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 1
Cardiff MU


Sears (43'), Mills-Evans (90+5'), Rushton (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rees (42')
Baker (74'), Price (90+6')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-4 Newtown
Friday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff MU in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
30.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 26.34% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 43.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.17 -0.17)52.85% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.144 -0.14)74.47% (0.14500000000001 0.15)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)31.82% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)68.26% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)24.29% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.167 -0.17)58.66% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 30.47%
    Cardiff MU 43.17%
    Draw 26.33%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.17%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
Cardiff MU

Taylor (71'), Hughes (82')

Baker (66'), Craven (69'), Chubb (87'), Lewis (90')
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
1-1
Newtown
Jones (17')
Chubb (63'), Craven (71'), Baker (78')
Hearsey (90+4')
Mwandwe (29'), Williams (45+1'), Jones (56')
May 4, 2021 7.45pm
Newtown
2-3
Cardiff MU
Ofori (1'), Rushton (66' pen.)
Fletcher (32'), Roberts (44'), Mills-Evans (53'), Ofori (57')
Rees (5'), Hulbert (54'), Evans (77' pen.)
Baker (42'), Lewis (60'), Woolridge (86')
Lewis (66')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Cardiff MU
2-2
Newtown
Baker (22'), Warman (57')
Warman (64'), Woolridge (80')
Mills-Evans (14'), Mwandwe (42')
Ofori (53'), Evans (84'), Davies (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
4-1
Cardiff MU
Ofori (5', 28'), Evans (57', 69')
Mwandwe (36'), Hughes (63'), O'Neill (79')
Woolridge (21')
Rees (41'), Lewis (52'), Evans (56'), Price (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU188462722528
5Barry Town UnitedBarry178452729-228
6Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon177462425-125
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1852112335-1217
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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