Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Lewis Rees 42'

Newtown AFC vs Cardiff MU - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions

W
L
L
D
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
L
L
D
L
W

Last game

Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm

Pontypridd 1 - 4 Newtown

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Cardiff MU

All competitions

L
W
L
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

L
W
L
L
L
W

Last game

Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm

Connah's Quay 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

41

Top scorer

Sam Jones

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff MU in this match.

Result

Newtown AFC 30.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 26.34% ▲ (+0.05)

Cardiff MU 43.18% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score:

51.61% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.15% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 2.5 52.85% ▲ (+0.17)

Over 3.5 25.53% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 3.5 74.47% ▲ (+0.15)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 0.5 31.82% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 31.73% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 68.26% ▲ (+0.07)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 0.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 1.5 41.34% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 1.5 58.66% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Newtown AFC 30.47%

Draw 26.33%

Cardiff MU 43.17%

Newtown AFC

1-0 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.05)

2-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.78%

Total : 30.47%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.06)

2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.01%

Total : 26.33%

Cardiff MU

0-1 @ 10.93% ▲ (+0.03)

1-2 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.02)

1-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)

0-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.65%

Total : 43.17%

Head to Head

Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Brett Taylor 71'
George Hughes 82'

Chris Baker 66'
Chris Craven 69'
Matt Chubb 87'
Emlyn Lewis 90'

Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Sam Jones 17'
Matt Chubb 63'
Chris Craven 71'
Chris Baker 78'

Lifumpa Mwandwe 29'
Craig Williams 45'+1'
Dave Jones 56'
Matthew Hearsey 90'+4'

May 4, 2021 7.45pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT

Tyrone Ofori 1'
Alex Fletcher 32'
Callum Roberts 44'
Kieran Mills-Evans 53'
Tyrone Ofori 57'
Nick Rushton 66'

Lewis Rees 5'
Chris Baker 42'
Ollie Hulbert 54'
Emlyn Lewis 60'
Emlyn Lewis 66'
Eliot Evans 77'
Bradley Woolridge 86'

Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Chris Baker 22'
Liam Warman 57'
Liam Warman 64'
Bradley Woolridge 80'

Kieran Mills-Evans 14'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 42'
Tyrone Ofori 53'
Jordan Evans 84'
James Davies 90'+1'

Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm

4

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Tyrone Ofori 5'
Tyrone Ofori 28'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 36'
Jordan Evans 57'
George Hughes 63'
Jordan Evans 69'
James O'Neill 79'

Bradley Woolridge 21'
Dylan Rees 41'
Emlyn Lewis 52'
Eliot Evans 56'
Tom Price 63'

Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Eliot Evans 4'
Eliot Evans 10'
Emlyn Lewis 67'
Liam Black 69'
Ollie Hulbert 77'
Harry Owen 90'

Jack Kelly 7'
Sean McAllister 29'
Dave Jones 60'
Rob Williams 68'

Form Data

Pontypridd 1 - 4 Newtown

New Saints 4 - 1 Newtown

Newtown 0 - 2 Bala Town

Airbus UK 4 - 4 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Haverfordwest 2 - 3 Newtown

Connah's Quay 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Haverfordwest 1 - 0 Cardiff MU

Bala Town 2 - 0 Cardiff MU

Cardiff MU 0 - 7 New Saints

Cardiff MU 1 - 0 Flint Town