Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
Newtown logo

New Saints
4 - 1
Newtown

McManus (9' pen.), Davies (25'), Daniels (29'), Cieslewicz (81')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Robles (36')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 6-2 New Saints
Friday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Bala Town
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawNewtown AFC
65.35% (0.404 0.4)19.2% (-0.5 -0.5)15.45% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.4% (2.026 2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61% (2.536 2.54)38.39% (-2.537 -2.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.32% (2.638 2.64)60.68% (-2.639 -2.64)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.845 0.84)11.01% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (1.832 1.83)35.3% (-1.833 -1.83)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (1.701 1.7)37.75% (-1.702 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (1.618 1.62)74.53% (-1.618 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 65.34%
    Newtown AFC 15.45%
    Draw 19.2%
The New SaintsDrawNewtown AFC
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.803 -0.8)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.218 0.22)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 4% (0.251 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.261 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.205 0.21)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 65.34%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.201 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.521 -0.52)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.2%
1-2 @ 4.35% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.301 -0.3)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 15.45%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-0
New Saints

Williams (40'), Ismail (50')
Ismail (61')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Roberts (48'), Walker (76'), Ismail (87')
Brobbel (64'), Canavan (90+2')
Williams (84')
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints
0-1
Newtown

Marriott (45+2'), Williams (87')
Rushton (31')
Walker (29'), Arsan (81'), Taylor (88')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
New Saints
2-0
Newtown
Baker (60', 78')
Brobbel (34'), Clark (35'), Baker (72'), Robles (82')

Roberts (37'), Cotterill (72')
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
1-4
New Saints
Williams (41')
Davies (30'), Mills-Evans (45+2'), Walker (60')
Clark (25'), McManus (49'), Hudson (58'), Williams (74')
Williams (48'), Marriott (68')