Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm

4

1

HT : 3 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Declan McManus 9'
Daniel Davies 25'
Joshua Daniels 29'
Adrian Cieslewicz 81'

Louis Robles 36'

The New Saints vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

W
L
W
W
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm

New Saints 6 - 2 Flint Town

Goals scored

112

Top scorer

Declan McManus

Newtown AFC

All competitions

L
D
L
W
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
D
L
W
W
L

Last game

Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm

Newtown 0 - 2 Bala Town

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result

The New Saints 65.35% ▲ (+0.41)

Draw 19.2% ▼ (-0.50)

Newtown AFC 15.45% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score:

55.4% ▲ (+2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.61% ▲ (+2.54)

Under 2.5 38.39% ▼ (-2.54)

Over 3.5 39.32% ▲ (+2.64)

Under 3.5 60.68% ▼ (-2.64)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 88.99% ▲ (+0.85)

Under 0.5 11.01% ▼ (-0.85)

Over 1.5 64.7% ▲ (+1.84)

Under 1.5 35.3% ▼ (-1.84)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 62.25% ▲ (+1.71)

Under 0.5 37.75% ▼ (-1.71)

Over 1.5 25.47% ▲ (+1.62)

Under 1.5 74.53% ▼ (-1.62)

Score analysis

The New Saints 65.34%

Draw 19.2%

Newtown AFC 15.45%

The New Saints

2-0 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.53)

2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.04)

1-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.81)

3-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.12)

3-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.22)

4-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.08)

4-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.26)

3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.27)

4-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.21)

5-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.10)

5-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.17)

Other @ 4.36%

Total : 65.34%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.35)

2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.21)

0-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.53)

3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.14)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 19.2%

Newtown AFC

1-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.04)

0-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.31)

0-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.06)

2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.14)

1-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.08)

Other @ 2.11%

Total : 15.45%

Head to Head

Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Craig Williams 40'
Zeli Ismail 50'
Zeli Ismail 61'

Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Callum Roberts 48'
Jake Walker 76'
Zeli Ismail 87'

Ryan Brobbel 64'
Jordan Williams 84'
Jake Canavan 90'+2'

Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Park Hall Stadium

Chris Marriott 45'+2'
Jordan Williams 87'

Jake Walker 29'
Nick Rushton 31'
Naim Arsan 81'
Brett Taylor 88'

Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Ryan Brobbel 34'
Ben Clark 35'
Ash Baker 60'
Ash Baker 72'
Ash Baker 78'
Louis Robles 82'

Callum Roberts 37'
David Cotterill 72'

Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm

1

4

HT : 1 1

FT

James Davies 30'
Aaron Williams 41'
Kieran Mills-Evans 45'+2'
Jake Walker 60'

Ben Clark 25'
Jordan Williams 48'
Declan McManus 49'
Blaine Hudson 58'
Chris Marriott 68'
Jordan Williams 74'

Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm

0

4

HT : 0 2

FT

Nick Rushton 23'
Sean McAllister 39'
George Hughes 73'

Leo Smith 24'
Louis Robles 30'
Ryan Astles 45'+1'
Adrian Cieslewicz 47'
Keston Davies 87'
Ben Clark 90'+4'

Form Data

New Saints 6 - 2 Flint Town

New Saints 0 - 3 Dundee

Cardiff MU 0 - 7 New Saints

Pontypridd 0 - 2 New Saints

Aberystwyth 0 - 2 New Saints

New Saints 2 - 1 Connah's Quay

Newtown 0 - 2 Bala Town

Airbus UK 4 - 4 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 3 Pen-y-Bont

Haverfordwest 2 - 3 Newtown

Newtown 2 - 1 Caernarfon

Bala Town 3 - 0 Newtown