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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Pen-y-Bont

Williams (58', 66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Whitmore (33'), D. Wood (45+3' pen.), Snaith (64')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-3 Newtown
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

Last Six:
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
42.18% (-0.684 -0.68)25.79% (0.097000000000001 0.1)32.03% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94% (-0.224 -0.22)50.05% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (-0.199 -0.2)72.03% (0.197 0.2)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)23.56% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (-0.63 -0.63)57.62% (0.629 0.63)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.277 0.28)29.34% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.34 0.34)65.32% (-0.343 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 42.18%
    Pen-y-Bont 32.03%
    Draw 25.79%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 42.18%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.141 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.03%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Newtown

Harling (29'), Borge (40'), Whitmore (59'), Owen (63'), Snaith (90+2')
Williams (41'), Mwandwe (61')
Taylor (23'), Arsan (29')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Mwandwe (3')
Roberts (56'), Ismail (82'), Walker (89'), Mwandwe (90')
MacDonald (15'), Snaith (54')
Davies (30'), (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (17' pen.), Rushton (39', 74')
Roberts (41'), Mwandwe (45'), Rushton (58'), (79'), (84')
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Newtown
Snaith (15')
Evans (51'), Walsh (84'), Waite (90')
Williams (43')
May 23, 2021 12.15pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Newtown

Davies (20'), Yakubu (56'), Griffiths (90+3')
Breese (86')
Roberts (89')