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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
3 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Williams (17' pen.), Rushton (39', 74')
Roberts (41'), Mwandwe (45'), Rushton (58'), (79'), (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Watts (68')
D. Wood (38'), Harling (41'), Davies (43'), Jefferies (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
35%23.59%41.41%
Both teams to score 62.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.85%39.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52%61.47%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15%55.85%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74%19.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02%50.98%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 35%
    Pen-y-Bont 41.41%
    Draw 23.58%
Newtown AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 7.96%
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 4.8%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.21%
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 41.41%