Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium
Newtown logo

Haverfordwest
2 - 3
Newtown

Rees (15'), Wilson (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Robles (29'), Williams (64', 85')
Sears (7'), Hughes (11'), Walker (41'), Wharton (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

Last Six:
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Haverfordwest
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

Last Six:
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawNewtown AFC
57.95% (-0.449 -0.45)23.1% (0.107 0.11)18.96% (0.351 0.35)
Both teams to score 49.71% (0.28 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.064 0.06)49.53% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.056000000000001 0.06)71.56% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.131 -0.13)16.82% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)46.8% (0.248 0.25)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (0.436 0.44)40.23% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.393 0.39)76.87% (-0.384 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 57.94%
    Newtown AFC 18.96%
    Draw 23.09%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.39% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 57.94%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.96%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
Williams (76' pen.)
Walker (90+1')
Williams (9')
Scotcher (33'), Idzi (63')
Oct 30, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-0
Newtown
Touray Sisay (26')
Wilson (53'), Rees (66'), Lewis (83')

Hughes (60')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Haverfordwest
1-2
Newtown
Fawcett (18')
Jones (42'), Shepherd (63'), Wilson (71')
Ofori (2'), Sutton (26')
Williams (77')
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Newtown
5-1
Haverfordwest
Ofori (28'), Mwandwe (29', 53'), Sutton (45'), Evans (85')
C (45+2')
Shepherd (61')
Shepherd (41'), A (45+2'), K (45+2')
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
Newtown
0-3
Haverfordwest

Fletcher (61'), Mwandwe (64')
Lewis (24'), Keetch (57'), Griffiths (89')
Scotcher (6'), Watts (8'), Jones (21'), Pemberton (82')
rhs 2.0


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