Welsh Premier League
Gameweek
9
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F18%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F18%2Fballog.png)
-
Antony Kay
36'
-
Chris Venables
51'
Newtown AFC vs Bala Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
Result
Newtown AFC
18.67%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
22.82%
▲
(+0.03)
Bala Town
58.52%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
50.06%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.19%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
48.81%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
29.09%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
70.91%
▲
(+0.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5
59.86%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
40.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
23.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
76.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5
83.63%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
16.37%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
54.01%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
45.99%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Newtown AFC
18.67%
Draw
22.82%
Bala Town
58.51%
Newtown AFC
1-0
@
6%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.67%
2-1 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 18.67%
Draw
1-1
@
10.85%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.82%
0-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.82%
Bala Town
0-1
@
11.89%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.51%
0-2 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 58.51%
George Hughes
72'