Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay2 - 0Cardiff MU
Wilde (10', 50')
Horan (28'), Disney (79'), Wilde (90+1')
Horan (28'), Disney (79'), Wilde (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
57.54% ( 0.15) | 24.75% ( -0.07) | 17.71% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.01% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
