Welsh Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • Kurtis Rees 55' goal
  • goal Louis Robles 17'
  • goal Aaron Williams 27'
  • goal Louis Robles 43'
  • goal Henry Cowans 78'

Pontypridd United vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd 3 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
New Saints 4 - 1 Newtown
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Aaron Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Pontypridd United 54.27% (-6.12)
Draw 22.92% (+1.56)
Newtown AFC 22.81% (+4.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.04% (+2.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.04% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 43.95% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 33.66% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 66.34% (+0.74)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 83.88% (-2.25)
Under 0.5 16.12% (+2.25)
Over 1.5 54.46% (-4.27)
Under 1.5 45.54% (+4.27)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% (+4.14)
Under 0.5 33.19% (-4.14)
Over 1.5 30.2% (+4.31)
Under 1.5 69.8% (-4.31)

Score analysis

Pontypridd United 54.27%
Draw 22.92%
Newtown AFC 22.81%
Pontypridd United
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.13)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.46)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-1.19)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.58)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-1.23)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.51)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.81)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 54.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (+0.69)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.52)
0-0 @ 5.35% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.92%
Newtown AFC
1-2 @ 5.94% (+0.98)
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.80)
0-2 @ 3.25% (+0.74)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.56)
2-3 @ 1.99% (+0.39)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-81.41)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.81%