Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.