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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ynysangharad Park
Newtown logo

Pontypridd
1 - 4
Newtown

Rees (55')
Knott (19'), Williams (57'), Wright (59')
Green (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Robles (17', 43'), Williams (27' pen.), Cowans (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 3-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Newtown
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawNewtown AFC
54.27% (-6.116 -6.12) 22.92% (1.551 1.55) 22.81% (4.564 4.56)
Both teams to score 56.04% (2.06 2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (-0.747 -0.75)43.95% (0.746 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66% (-0.73200000000001 -0.73)66.34% (0.73099999999999 0.73)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (-2.245 -2.24)16.12% (2.244 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46% (-4.263 -4.26)45.54% (4.264 4.26)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (4.134 4.13)33.19% (-4.133 -4.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (4.309 4.31)69.8% (-4.308 -4.31)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 54.27%
    Newtown AFC 22.81%
    Draw 22.92%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.454 -0.45)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-1.188 -1.19)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.575 -0.58)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-1.23 -1.23)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.508 -0.51)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.81 -0.81)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.282 -0.28)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.394 -0.39)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.69 0.69)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.514 0.51)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.972 0.97)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.798 0.8)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.739 0.74)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.551 0.55)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.381 0.38)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.37 0.37)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.81%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110


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