Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Newtown AFC
54.27% ( -6.12)	22.92% ( 1.55)	22.81% ( 4.56)

Both teams to score 56.04% (

2.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04% (

-0.75)

43.95% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

-0.73)

66.34% (

0.73)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88% (

-2.24)

16.12% (

2.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.46% (

-4.26)

45.54% (

4.26)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

4.13)

33.19% (

-4.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2% (

4.31)

69.8% (

-4.31)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 54.27%

Newtown AFC 22.81%

Draw 22.92%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Newtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.45) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -1.19) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.58) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -1.23) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.51) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.81) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.27%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.97) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.8) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.74) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.55) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.81%