Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park
Pontypridd3 - 1Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Pontypridd
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-2 Connah's Quay
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
56.84% ( 0.37) | 23.18% ( -0.07) | 19.98% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
