Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ynysangharad Park
  • Joe Evans 37' goal
  • Jarrod Wright 74' goal
  • Dan Williams 90'+5' goal
  • goal Darren Thomas 60'

Pontypridd United vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd United

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 1 Pontypridd
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Ben Ahmun

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon 0 - 2 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fidel O'Rourke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result

Pontypridd United 56.84% (+0.38)
Draw 23.18% (-0.07)
Caernarfon Town 19.98% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.13% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.51% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 48.48% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.38% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 70.61% (+0.11)

Pontypridd United Goals

Over 0.5 83.16% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 16.83% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 53.17% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 46.83% (-0.17)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.49% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 38.51% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 24.74% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 75.26% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Pontypridd United 56.84%
Draw 23.17%
Caernarfon Town 19.98%
Pontypridd United
1-0 @ 11.55% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.29% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.83% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 56.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.48% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.17%
Caernarfon Town
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.98%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
  • Iwan Cartwright 33' yellowcard
  • Sion Bradley 62' goal
  • Joe Faux 65' goal
  • Danny Gosset 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Woodiwiss 30'