Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Caernarfon Town
56.84% ( 0.37)	23.18% ( -0.07)	19.98% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.51% (

-0.11)

48.48% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.38% (

-0.11)

70.61% (

0.1)

Pontypridd Town AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

0.09)

16.83% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.17% (

0.16)

46.83% (

-0.16)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

-0.38)

38.51% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-0.37)

75.26% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Pontypridd Town AFC 56.84%

Caernarfon Town 19.98%

Draw 23.17%

Pontypridd Town AFC	Draw	Caernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 56.84%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.17%	0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 19.98%