Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 1
Airbus UK

Bradley (50', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Airbus UK Broughton
41.37% ( 0.56)	24.54% ( -0.35)	34.09% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 58.99% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.12% (

1.57)

43.88% (

-1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.73% (

1.52)

66.26% (

-1.53)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

0.94)

21.28% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

1.44)

54.2% (

-1.45)

Airbus UK Broughton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

0.62)

25.06% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25% (

0.85)

59.74% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 41.37%

Airbus UK Broughton 34.09%

Draw 24.54%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Airbus UK Broughton
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.37%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.09%