Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
  • Sion Bradley 50' goal
  • Rob Hughes 76' goal
  • Iwan Cartwright 83' yellowcard
  • Sion Bradley 90' goal
  • goal Steve Tomassen 40'
  • yellowcard Jake Eyre 65'

Caernarfon Town vs Airbus UK Broughton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Newtown 2 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Fidel O'Rourke

Airbus UK Broughton

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Airbus UK 1 - 3 Flint Town
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jake Eyre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result

Caernarfon Town 41.37% (+0.56)
Draw 24.54% (-0.35)
Airbus UK Broughton 34.09% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.99% (+1.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.12% (+1.58)
Under 2.5 43.88% (-1.58)
Over 3.5 33.73% (+1.52)
Under 3.5 66.26% (-1.53)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.72% (+0.95)
Under 0.5 21.28% (-0.95)
Over 1.5 45.79% (+1.45)
Under 1.5 54.2% (-1.45)

Airbus UK Broughton Goals

Over 0.5 74.93% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 25.06% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 40.25% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 59.74% (-0.87)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 41.37%
Draw 24.54%
Airbus UK Broughton 34.09%
Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.56% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.15% (+0.17)
4-1 @ 1.76% (+0.11)
4-0 @ 1.27% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.10)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.11% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.46% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.54%
Airbus UK Broughton
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.39)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.64% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval (Caernarfon, Gwynedd)
  • Darren Thomas 58' goal
  • Sion Bradley 66' goal
  • Darren Thomas 71' goal
  • Leo Smith 86' goal
  • Sam Jones 90' goal
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2019 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Hollingsworth Group International Airfield (Broughton, Flintshire)
  • Andy Owens 7' goal
  • Matthew Sargent 19' yellowcard
  • Joe Palmer 38' yellowcard
  • Walid Gharbaoui 46' yellowcard
  • Jake Phillips 54' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edwards 72' goal
  • Andy Owens 80' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Strong 71' (OG)
  • goal Darren Thomas 79'
  • goal Jamie Breese 87'